Precision instruments for financial analysis

Treasury Yield Curve Tracker

Treasury futures spread analysis with Austrian business cycle phase interpretation.

Current Yield Curve

2yr (ZT)

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10yr (ZN)

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30yr (ZB)

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2s10s Spread

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2s30s Spread

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Austrian Interpretation

Steepening = credit expansion warning — short rates falling relative to long rates signals new credit creation.
Inversion = malinvestment peak signal — the market is pricing in contraction.
Normalization = liquidation underway — the correction is beginning.

Full ABCT explanation →